![]() ![]() It provides added insurance against bad luck early on, helps protect your investment in our service, and also lets you take greater advantage of all the research we do. So if you are serious enough about survivor pools that you'll buy our NFL Survivor Picks product, we strongly recommend playing multiple entries in your pool(s). All of our customers need to be prepared for this. It's much better to win once and come in dead last the next nine years, than to do pretty well (but not win anything) for ten years straight.Įvery week, there is a very real chance that our top recommended pick will lose, whether it's Week 1 or Week 15. But if you're playing to maximize winnings, like we do, you do what the numbers say. That moves optimal strategy for survivor pools even more toward a highly volatile, "boom or bust" type of approach. So taking some additional risk with your picks in the opening weeks often increases your expected winnings. In addition, years of research has demonstrated that in most survivor pools, the majority of players is too conservative early on. It's pretty crazy when you think about it. Translation: Even playing it as safe as possible, the life expectancy of a typical survivor entry is around 3 weeks. ![]() So even if you play it safe and pick the most likely teams to win each week, you'd typically have about a 1-in-5 chance of your pick losing every single week. It's relatively rare for any NFL team to have an 80% chance or greater of winning a game. Probably more than any other pool, the format of survivor pools greatly exposes every player to the cruel whims of randomness. Playing in NFL survivor pools is less risky than playing the lottery, but it's still a huge gamble. We would be crazy to guarantee that or set that expectation. Football neophytes looking to instantly become perennial prize contenders.Football experts looking to apply a more data-driven approach to pick making.Busy people who want to play at a high level, but value their free time.Hard core survivor players looking for any incremental edge they can get.Thanks to this range of benefits, our customer base is quite diverse, and includes: We strip out all the agony and bias from your pick making. Being human, you may find it hard to pick against teams you personally like, and you second guess half your decisions a minute after you make them. Decreased Nail Biting And Hair Pulling.Our product can pay for itself in a week based on time saved alone. A lot of people want to participate in the camaraderie and profit opportunities of survivor pools, but simply don't have hours to devote to weekly pick research. that boss or spouse of yours who thinks they know football), is worth a lot to some people. Even if you don't win a prize, having a better shot to outlast lots of your opponents, or even just one specific opponent (e.g. The more pools you play in and the higher the stakes, the more that edge is worth. In most cases, our picks should help you win prizes in NFL survivor pools 2x-10x as frequently as your average opponent. Lets you forecast the popularity of various teams in your specific pool, and calculates the resulting top value picks for the current week. Shows future week win odds for all teams and enables you to evaluate and compare different options for future picks. Leverages our algorithms to identify your optimal picks for every future week, at the current point in time. Shows key data (win odds, popularity, future value) and overall ranking for every team each week, customized for your pool. Key football survivor product features include the following: You can refresh your pick rankings during the week to adjust for changes in pick popularity, Thursday night game results, and betting line movement. Data-based features are typically made available on or before Tuesday afternoon each week. All information is delivered via our web site. Weekly information delivery via web site.For the minority of players in pools that extend into the playoffs, we provide a general playoff pick survivor strategy writeup. This product covers NFL survivor pools only, and all features are available for the entire NFL regular season. ![]()
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